Publikationen aus TORE

2024

2023

  • Schmidt, Mark; Mertens, Kai Gustav; Meyer, Matthias
    Cost hierarchies and the pattern of product cost cross-subsidization: Extending a computational model of costing system design
    PLoS ONE 18(9): e0290370 (2023-09-11)
    Open Access | Verlags DOI
  • Grossmann, Igor; Rotella, Amanda; Hutcherson, Cendri; Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn; Varnum, Michael; Achter, Sebastian; Dhami, Mandeep K.; Guo, Xinqi Evie; Kara-Yakoubian, Mane; Mandel, David R.; Raes, Louis; Tay, Louis; Vie, Aymeric; Wagner, Lisa; Adamkovic, Matus; Arami, Arash; Arriaga Ferreira, Patricia; Bandara, Kasun; Baník, Gabriel; Bartoš, František; Baskin, Ernest; Bergmeir, Christoph; Białek, Michał; Børsting, Caroline Kjær; Browne, Dillon T.; Caruso, Eugene M.; Chen, Rong; Chie, Bin-Tzong; Chopik, William J.; Collins, Robert N.; Cong, Chin Wen; Conway, Lucian G.; Davis, Matthew; Day, Martin V.; Dhaliwal, Nathan A.; Durham, Justin D.; Dziekan, Martyna; Elbaek, Christian; Shuman, Eric; Fabrykant, Marharyta; Firat, Mustafa; Fong, Geoffrey T.; Frimer, Jeremy; Gallegos, Jonathan M.; Goldberg, Simon B.; Gollwitzer, Anton; Goyal, Julia; Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz; Gronlund, Scott D.; Hafenbrädl, Sebastian; Hartanto, Andree; Hirshberg, Matthew J.; Hornsey, Matthew; Howe, Piers D.L.; Izadi, Anoosha; Jaeger, Bastian; Kačmár, Pavol; Kim, Yeun Joon; Krenzler, Ruslan; Lannin, Daniel; Lin, Hung Wen; Lou, Nigel Mantou; Lua, Verity Y.Q.; Lukaszewski, Aaron W.; Ly, Albert L.; Madan, Christopher; Maier, Maximilian; Majeed, Nadyanna M.; March, David S.; Marsh, Abigail A.; Misiak, Michal; Myrseth, Kristian; Napan, Jaime; Nicholas, Jonathan; Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos; O, Jiaqing; Otterbring, Tobias; Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola; Pauer, Shiva; Protzko, John; Raffaelli, Quentin; Ropovik, Ivan; Ross, Robert M.; Roth, Yefim; Røysamb, Espen; Schnabel, Landon; Schütz, Astrid; Seifert, Matthias; Sevincer, A. T.; Sherman, Garrick T.; Simonsson, Otto; Sung, Ming Chien; Tai, Chung Ching; Talhelm, Thomas; Teachman, Bethany; Tetlock, Philip; Thomakos, Dimitrios; Tse, Dwight C.K.; Twardus, Oliver; Tybur, Joshua M.; Ungar, Lyle; Vandermeulen, Daan; Vaughan Williams, Leighton; Vosgerichian, Hrag A.; Wang, Qi; Wang, Ke; Whiting, Mark E.; Wollbrant, Conny E.; Yang, Tao; Yogeeswaran, Kumar; Yoon, Sangsuk; Alves, Ventura R.; Andrews-Hanna, Jessica R.; Bloom, Paul A.; Boyles, Anthony; Charis, Loo; Choi, Mingyeong; Darling-Hammond, Sean; Ferguson, Z. E.; Kaiser, Cheryl R.; Karg, Simon Tobias; Ortega, Alberto López; Mahoney, Lori; Marsh, Melvin; Martinie, Marcellin F.R.C.; Michaels, Eli K.; Millroth, Philip; Naqvi, Jeanean B.; Ng, Weiting; Rutledge, Robb B.; Slattery, Peter; Smiley, Adam H.; Strijbis, Oliver; Sznycer, Daniel; Tsukayama, Eli; van Loon, Austin; Voelkel, Jan G.; Wienk, Margaux; Wilkening, Tom
    Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change
    Nature Human Behaviour 7 (4): 484-501 (2023-02-09)
    Verlags DOI
  • Mertens, Kai Gustav; Rennpferdt, Christoph; Greve, Erik; Krause, Dieter; Meyer, Matthias
    Reviewing the intellectual structure of product modularization: Toward a common view and future research agenda
    Journal of Product Innovation Management 40 (1): 86-119 (2023-01)
    Open Access | Verlags DOI
  • Plähn, Jannick; Bellora-Bienengräber, Lucia; Mertens, Kai G.; Meyer, Matthias
    Combining experiments with agent-based modeling : benefits for experimental management accounting research
    17th Social Simulation Conference (SSC 2022)
    Verlags DOI
  • Harten, Clemens; Bellora-Bienengräber, Lucia; Meyer, Matthias
    Effektive Risikoworkshops … Aber wie?
    Controlling 2: 50-54 (2023)
  • Meyer, Matthias
    Qualitätsdimensionen eines Digital Reportings: Was ist Noise und warum sollte man darauf achten?
    in: Digital Reporting Transformation des Controllerbereichs durch den digitalen Wandel; Arbeitskreis Digital Reporting, Schmalenbach-Gesellschaft für Betriebswirtschaft e. V. (Hrsg.) (2023)
  • Bellora-Bienengräber, Lucia; Harten, Clemens; Meyer, Matthias
    The effectiveness of risk assessments in risk workshops : the role of calculative cultures
    Journal of Risk Research 26 (2): 163-183 (2023)
    Open Access | Verlags DOI

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

Search

[34912]
Title: The Impact of Biases on Simulation Based Risk Aggregation: Modeling Cognitive Influences on Risk Assessment.
Written by: Meyer, Matthias and Grisar, Cathérine and Kuhnert, Felix
in: <em>Journal of Management Control</em>. (2011).
Volume: <strong>22</strong>. Number: (1),
on pages: 79-105
Chapter:
Editor:
Publisher:
Series:
Address:
Edition:
ISBN:
how published:
Organization:
School:
Institution:
Type: Journal Article
DOI: 10.1007/s00187-011-0127-6
URL:
ARXIVID:
PMID:

Note:

Abstract: This paper develops a systematic approach to quantifying the effect of judgmental biases on aggregate risk measures. Starting with the standard risk management process, we derive the areas that require expert judgment as input in order to aggregate risk into risk measures such as Earnings at Risk. We specify three possible gateways for biases and identify several psychological theories to quantify deviations of expert judgments from objective probabilities. The impact of these cognitive biases on the aggregate risk measure is investigated via Monte Carlo simulation experiments. Through experimental design, we can determine the size of both the average and the possible interaction effects of the different biases. The results show that aggregate risk is systematically underestimated if it is based on biased subjective judgment. Moreover, the existence of interaction effects indicates potential problems of simple debiasing strategies.