Institute for Global Water Security

Water shapes economies, cities, and lives — and it is one of the most unpredictable forces on Earth. We build the mathematical and computational foundations to quantify that unpredictability and turn it into decisions that protect people and infrastructure.

The problems we work on are concrete: how severe will the next major flood be, and how will that change over a 50-year planning horizon? Which adaptation investments hold up across thousands of plausible future rainfall and drought conditions — and which fail under scenarios we have not yet considered? How do we translate probabilistic climate projections into design standards, insurance pricing, and governance decisions that communities can act on?

The Institute for Global Water Security was established at TUHH in 2025, bringing together two decades of research in probabilistic hydrology and a proven open-source simulation framework. We work on the full chain from statistical theory through deployed tools to real-world decisions — for infrastructure engineers, reinsurance analysts, city planners, and policy makers.

Our approach: From probability to decision

We do not stop at the model. Our research connects rigorous probabilistic descriptions of hydroclimatic variability and extremes to the decisions that infrastructure, insurance, and governance actually require. The methods are proven. The tools are deployed. The partnerships are open.

Research

Four programme areas covering hydroclimatic extremes, climate change and water risk, uncertainty and decision support, and AI-data-driven hydrology.

Research areas ›

CoSMoS

Our award-winning open-source stochastic simulation framework — 35,000+ downloads, used in research and industry across Europe and North America.

View in Software ›

Education

TUHH-credited courses and professional CoSMoS workshops with an established international track record.

Courses & Workshops ›

Collaborate

Contract research, Data Intelligence services, research partnerships, and professional training for industry and public sector partners.

Work with us ›

 

Latest News

30.10.26
Where would a once-in-a-century cloudburst hit Hamburg’s residents hardest? A new study assesses pluvial flood risk building by building across the entire city, shows why hazard maps alone cannot answer this question, and has already made regional headlines.
29.10.26
How often a region sees hot days or heavy rainfall depends not only on its climate, but also on chance: a new study maps how strongly internal climate variability affects common climate extreme indices, and offers an interactive atlas to explore it.
15.09.26
A new open dataset disaggregates the global ISIMIP3 climate projections from daily to hourly resolution, so that impact models can finally resolve processes that unfold within a day.
15.09.26
Climate extremes rarely arrive alone, and a new perspective paper asks what it takes for research on such compound events to actually be usable in early warning and adaptation practice.